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汽车安全与节能学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (4): 503-510.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-8484.2026.04.009

• 智能驾驶与智慧交通 • 上一篇    

感知不确定环境下基于概率约束的车辆紧急避撞策略

樊晨旭1(), 关永学1, 侯文彬2, 付康3, 徐莉1   

  1. 1 江铃汽车股份有限公司 产品研发总院南昌 330000, 中国
    2 大连理工大学大连 116000, 中国
    3 江西省科技基础条件平台中心南昌 330000, 中国
  • 收稿日期:2026-04-05 修回日期:2026-06-07 出版日期:2026-08-30 发布日期:2026-09-01
  • 作者简介:樊晨旭(1999—),男(汉),江西,工程师。E-mail:fancx.tech@outlook.com
  • 基金资助:
    江西省重点研发计划项目(20232BBE50008)

Robust trajectory planning for vehicle emergency collision avoidance in spatially constrained scenarios considering perception uncertainty

FAN Chenxu1(), GUAN Yongxue1, HOU Wenbin2, FU Kang3, XU Li1   

  1. 1 Product R&D Academy, Jiangling Motors Co. Ltd, Nanchang 330000, China
    2 Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116000, China
    3 Jiangxi Provincial Science and Technology Infrastructure Center, Nanchang 330000, China
  • Received:2026-04-05 Revised:2026-06-07 Online:2026-08-30 Published:2026-09-01

摘要:

针对高速道路空间受限场景下,车载传感器感知不确定性与避撞轨迹规划可行性之间的矛盾,提出了一种基于机会约束的概率鲁棒轨迹规划与闭环控制方法。构建基于多维 Gauss 分布的障碍物感知不确定性模型,利用机会约束规划理论将避撞概率约束转化为基于 3σ 原则的确定性动态安全边界,实现了安全余量随感知噪声水平的自适应调整;基于深度学习框架 PyTorch 构建完全可微的非凸优化求解器,在满足车辆动力学与物理空间硬约束的前提下实现轨迹参数的梯度优化求解;依托CARLA 构建了“感知-规划-控制”闭环测试框架。结果表明:相比于忽略误差的基准策略与预留固定余量的保守策略,所提方法克服了前者 27% 的高碰撞率与后者 99% 的高规划失败率缺陷,在设定工况下实现了 100% 的避撞成功率;在极端感知高估误差 0.6 m 的工况下,主车最大横向跟踪误差严格控制在 0.174 m 内,无碰撞失稳现象。该方法打破了传统保守策略的“窄路无解”的僵局,具备一定的底层工程执行性与安全性。

关键词: 汽车主动安全, 轨迹规划, 感知不确定性, 机会约束, 空间受限场景, 鲁棒优化

Abstract:

A chance-constrained probabilistic robust trajectory planning and closed-loop control method was proposed to resolve contradictions between perception uncertainty and planning feasibility in high-speed constrained driving scenarios. The study modeled perception uncertainty via a multi-dimensional Gaussian distribution, collision probability was transformed into a deterministic dynamic safety boundary based on the 3σ principle, enabling adaptive safety margins. A PyTorch-based fully differentiable non-convex solver was developed for gradient optimization of trajectories under strict dynamic and spatial constraints. The results show that, evaluated in a CARLA closed-loop framework, the proposed method overcomes the 27% collision rate of deterministic planning and the 99% failure rate of conservative strategies, achieving a 100% success rate under set conditions. Even under an extreme + 0.6 m perception error, the maximum lateral tracking error remains within 0.174 m without collisions. Ultimately, the proposed method breaks the “no-solution” deadlock in narrow roads, validating its strong engineering executability and safety.

Key words: automotive active safety, trajectory planning, perception uncertainty, chance constrained, spatially constrained scenarios, robust optimization

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