Total ownership cost analysis of hydrogen-fuel-cell heavy-trucks in China

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1674-8484.2023.06.013

Abstract

Abstract:

A quantitative analysis model was established for the total cost of ownership measurement of hydrogen-fuel-cell heavy-trucks in the Chinese context based on the cost modeling of the Chinese hydrogen supply chain. The investigate object was selected as that the fossil energy-based hydrogen, the wind power / photovoltaic hydrogen production, the industrial by-production of hydrogen, the nuclear energy-based hydrogen and the other production technologies, from the hydrogen energy supply chain to the heavy-duty truck operation of the whole process of production, storage, transportation, refueling and vehicle use of each link; and included with 2 types of hydrogen transportation technologies (with tube-trailers and with pipelines). The results show that the current total cost of ownership is ranges from 2.00~3.57 million yuan (RMB), which is 38.4% to 74.3% higher than that of diesel heavy-duty trucks, for 3 types of hydrogen fuel cell heavy-duty trucks, namely the intra-city transportation -trailers, the inter-city transportation-trailers, and the mine/port freight transportation-dump trucks; The hydrogen fuel cell heavy-duty trucks have a relatively superior economic cost performance in scenarios of mine/port freight transportation, with having a preferred promotion potential; The hydrogen fuel cell heavy-duty trucks will need to reach parity with diesel heavy-duty trucks, i.e., close to the total cost of ownership of similar models, after 2027—2028, without considering government subsidies, in the scenarios of inter-city freight transportation, mine/port freight transportation; China's hydrogen fuel cell heavy-duty trucks are expected to reach parity with conventional vehicles earlier than 2025, under the above scenarios, based on the existing government subsidy policies.

Key words: pure electric trucks, hydrogen-fuel-cell heavy trucks, hydrogen supply chain, total ownership cost, China

CLC Number:

TM912.9

WANG Minghua, WANG Wen, CHEN Zeyu, LIU Jianzhe, OU Xunmin, REN Lei. Total ownership cost analysis of hydrogen-fuel-cell heavy-trucks in China[J]. Journal of Automotive Safety and Energy, 2023, 14(6): 762-773.

Figures/Tables 25

References 35

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代号	燃油经济性 / (MJ·km^-1)
代号	汽油或柴油	氢气	电力
乘用车：A0级	2.7	1.1	0.8
客车：10.5 m级	12.1	10.2	4.3
重卡：城内运输-半挂车	14.8	8.2	8.9
重卡：矿山/港口运输-自卸车	11.4	7.8	6.8
重卡：城间运输-半挂车	14.0	7.8	8.4

代号	燃油经济性 / (MJ·km^-1)
代号	汽油或柴油	氢气	电力
乘用车：A0级	2.7	1.1	0.8
客车：10.5 m级	12.1	10.2	4.3
重卡：城内运输-半挂车	14.8	8.2	8.9
重卡：矿山/港口运输-自卸车	11.4	7.8	6.8
重卡：城间运输-半挂车	14.0	7.8	8.4

	氢燃料电池车	纯电动车	柴油车
基本参数
总质量 / t	49.0	49.0	49.0
整备质量 / t	11.10	10.65	8.20
燃料价格	*	1.5元/ kWh	6.5元/L
购置阶段
车辆成本 / 万元	170.0	76.0	39.0
国补 / 万元	-54.6	-4.0	0.0
市补 / 万元	-54.6	-0.0	0.0
购置税 / 万元	0.0	0.0	3.45
购置成本 / 万元	60.8	72.0	42.45
运营阶段
100 km消耗量	10.0 kg	189.7 kWh	32.5 L
每年燃料消耗	6.5 t	189.7 MWh	32.5 m³
每年尿素消耗费用	—	—	11.38万元
每年保养费用/ 万元	2.68	0.50	0.62
每年车辆保险/ 万元	5.00	3.50	3.00

	氢燃料电池车	纯电动车	柴油车
基本参数
总质量 / t	49.0	49.0	49.0
整备质量 / t	11.10	10.65	8.20
燃料价格	*	1.5元/ kWh	6.5元/L
购置阶段
车辆成本 / 万元	170.0	76.0	39.0
国补 / 万元	-54.6	-4.0	0.0
市补 / 万元	-54.6	-0.0	0.0
购置税 / 万元	0.0	0.0	3.45
购置成本 / 万元	60.8	72.0	42.45
运营阶段
100 km消耗量	10.0 kg	189.7 kWh	32.5 L
每年燃料消耗	6.5 t	189.7 MWh	32.5 m³
每年尿素消耗费用	—	—	11.38万元
每年保养费用/ 万元	2.68	0.50	0.62
每年车辆保险/ 万元	5.00	3.50	3.00

各类车辆	FCV储氢质量 / kg	BEV储电量/ kWh		功率 / kW
各类车辆	FCV储氢质量 / kg	BEV储电量/ kWh	电动机	动力电池	燃料电池
城内运输-半挂车	25.3	616.2	186	33.4	246.2
矿山/港口运输-自卸车	63.7	932.5	349	25.7	189.7
城间运输-半挂车	56.6	1 831.4	250	31.8	233.9