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汽车安全与节能学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (5): 599-608.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-8484.2026.05.009

• 智能驾驶与智慧交通 • 上一篇    下一篇

动态风险建模与多模态预测融合的自动驾驶换道决策规划

郑讯佳1,2(), 徐浩1, 陈星1, 刘辉1, 高建杰3,*(), 晏迅2, 孙威2   

  1. 1 重庆文理学院 智能制造工程学院, 重庆 402160, 中国
    2 重庆嘉陵特种装备有限公司, 重庆 402160, 中国
    3 四川警察学院 智能警务四川省重点实验室, 泸州 646000, 中国
  • 收稿日期:2026-03-11 修回日期:2026-08-13 出版日期:2026-10-31 发布日期:2026-11-08
  • 通讯作者: *高建杰,副教授。E-mail:jianjiecq@163.com。
  • 作者简介:郑讯佳(1990—),男(土家族),重庆,副教授。E-mail:xunjia_zheng@cqwu.edu.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    四川省科技计划资助项目(2024NSFSC2029);重庆市自然科学基金面上项目(CSTB2025NSCQ-GPX1106);重庆文理学院研究生科研创新项目(CUAS-GSG2025014)

Dynamic risk modeling and multi-modal prediction fusion for autonomous lane-changing decision and planning

ZHENG Xunjia1,2(), XU Hao1, CHEN Xing1, LIU Hui1, GAO Jianjie3,*(), YAN Xun2, SUN Wei2   

  1. 1 School of Intelligent Manufacturing Engineering, Chongqing University of Arts and Sciences, Chongqing 402160
    2 Chongqing Jialing Special Equipment Co., Ltd., Chongqing 402160
    3 Sichuan Provincial Key Laboratory of Intelligent Policing, Sichuan Police College, Luzhou 646000, China
  • Received:2026-03-11 Revised:2026-08-13 Online:2026-10-31 Published:2026-11-08

摘要:

针对自动驾驶车辆在换道过程中因周围动态障碍物运动状态不确定所引发的轨迹规划难题,提出一种基于行车安全场的局部轨迹规划方法。该方法采用横向与纵向解耦的规划框架:在横向规划中,利用B样条曲线生成候选路径簇,并通过引入路径长度、平均曲率、风险虚拟力方差等构建多目标评价函数,结合自适应权重策略筛选最优路径,以增强行驶安全性以及应对突发状况的响应能力;在纵向规划中,基于长短期记忆网络(LSTM)预测他车轨迹并构建考虑预测误差的安全区域,通过动态规划在时空图中搜索粗略速度曲线,并采用五次多项式进行二次规划以生成平滑可行的速度轨迹。结果表明:相较于Gauss势场,该方法在较安全情况下能将换道风险降低22.45%,在较危险情况下能将换道风险降低30.98%。

关键词: 自动驾驶, 安全场, 轨迹规划, 轨迹预测

Abstract:

A local trajectory planning method based on the driving safety field was proposed to address the challenge of trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles during lane-changing maneuvers caused by the uncertain motion states of surrounding dynamic obstacles. The method adopted a decoupled lateral-longitudinal planning framework. In lateral planning, a family of candidate paths was generated using B-spline curves, and a multi-objective evaluation function was formulated by incorporating virtual risk forces, path length, and curvature. An adaptive weighting strategy was applied to select the optimal path, thereby enhancing driving safety and responsiveness to sudden scenarios. In longitudinal planning, a long short-term memory network was first employed to predict the trajectories of surrounding vehicles, and a safety region was constructed that accounted for prediction uncertainty. A rough speed profile was then obtained via dynamic programming within a spatiotemporal graph, followed by quadratic programming using quintic polynomials to generate a smooth and feasible velocity trajectory. The results show that, relative to the Gaussian potential field baseline, the proposed method yields a 22.45% reduction in lane-change risk in relatively safe scenarios and a 30.98% reduction in relatively hazardous scenarios.

Key words: autonomous vehicles, safety field, trajectory planning, trajectory prediction

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